Clients have been calling me worried about the May 2026 Budget changes to negative gearing.
I get it. It feels like a big deal. The headlines aren't helping.
So I did what I usually do when something this significant lands. I went and pulled the actual data from the last time the government tried this, in 1985. I wanted to see what really happened, not what the property industry says happened.
Here's the short version: investors didn't leave the market. They adapted. And inside two years, the rules were reversed and prices ran hard.
That's the story most people don't tell.
+42%
More money lent to property investors during the period the rules were changed.
26 months
How long the change lasted before the government backed down.
+24.7%
How much Adelaide house prices jumped in 1988, the year after the change was reversed.
The 1985 timeline, in plain English
How it actually played out.
July 1985
The Hawke government changes the negative gearing rules. Investors can still claim losses against their rental income. They just can't claim them against their
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